Intelligence Failure
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"There was
nothing that I or anyone else saw
that indicated a collapse in 11 days."
General Milley,
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff,
at August 18, 2021 Department of Defense press conference.
"The Taliban is not the south - the North
Vietnamese army. They're
not - they're not remotely comparable in terms of capability. There's
going to be no circumstance where you see people being lifted
off the roof of a embassy in the - of the United States from
Afghanistan. It is not at all comparable"
President Biden during
a question and answer session
following a
speech to the nation on July 8, 2021.
The rapid Taliban takeover of
Afghanistan in August 2021 had many members of government and outside
observers commenting that the U.S. suffered a massive intelligence
failure. There are those that say the intelligence was there and was
accurate and the Biden administration didn't act on it. Others say the
intel community missed the signs that the Taliban could drive to victory
in such a short period.
News Articles and Reports about
Afghanistan Intelligence Failure
September 4, 2021.
"Afghanistan: Everyone got it wrong on Taliban Takeover - armed forces
chief", BBC News. Gen Sir Nick Carter says the Taliban
managed to "buy off" opponents as it took over. Nobody saw the Taliban
takeover happening so quickly.
September 2, 2021.
"Was Afghanistan a Failure of Intelligence?", Counterbalance
Podcast, Ezra Cohen, Michael Doran, and Marshal Kosloff, one hour.
August 20, 2021.
"The intelligence community's silence is deafening", by Deb Pfaff
and Bo Miller, The Hill.
August 18, 2021.
"CIA's Former Counterterrorism Chief for the Region: Afghanistan, Not An
Intelligence Failure - Something Much Worse", by Douglas London,
Just Security.
August 18, 2021. "Taliban Takeoveer Raises
Questions About Potential Intelligence Failure", Lobo Institute.
August 17, 2021.
"Afghanistan and the history of intelligence failures - analysis",
by Yonah Jeremy Bob, The Jerusalem Post. From the fall of
Afghanistan, to at least two wars Israel unintentionally fought with
Hamas, to 9/11, to Pearl Harbor and other events, certain patterns
emerge regarding mega-intelligence failures.
August 17, 2021.
"Grim intelligence assessments did not match Biden's assurances on
Afghanistan: report", by Ellen Mitchell,The Hill.
August 16, 2021.
"Intelligence Failure of the Highest Order - How Afghanistan fell to the
Taliban so quickly", CNBC.
August 16, 2021.
"Kabul's collapse followed string of intel failures, defense officials
say", by Laura Seligman, Politico. Officials overestimated
the capability and will of the Afghan security forces to fight back as
the Taliban seized city after city in recent days.
August 15, 2021.
"Intelligence Reports From Afghanistan Missed One Key Element: Speed",
The Wall Street Journal. U.S. officials are conflicted over
whether intelligence failures may have contributed to the swift Taliban
takeover of Afghanistan.
August 15, 2021.
"Afghanistan's collapse: Did US intelligence get it wrong?", by
James Gordon Meek, ABC News. American intelligence sources say
they correctly predicted the fall of Kabul.
August 15, 2021.
"Don't ignore the CIA's intelligence failure on Afghanistan", by
Michael Rubin, 19fortyfive.com.
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